Within hours after I wrote about how far Bennett is from winning this senate race Bennett himself essentially confirms my position by bringing out some friendly generals and shooting himself in the foot while taking aim at Mike Lee. All except possibly his most ardent supporters will rightly recognize that taking that shot is a sign that the Senator knows how dire his position is and who is in place to win the Convention vote. Even those who agree with Bennett’s position must recognize how much that shot can hurt him in the race and consequently how dire his position is to have him taking the chance.
What has been really interesting to me was not that Bennett recognized how slim his chances are right now (I’ve never thought that he was as ignorant and disconnected from that reality as the necessarily optimistic tone of his campaight might make him appear) but that the commentary from all quarters since he took the shot seems to converge on the fact that not only is Mike Lee the clear frontrunner of all the candidates, but Senator Bennett is probably not even his closest challenger. In the race for second place it appears that Tim Bridgewater is currently in the lead.
Right now as Bennett tries to peel some support away from Lee it may be Bridgewater who is the primary beneficiary instead of Bennett. At the same time, Mike Lee is working his hardest to make sure the race for the Republican nomination ends on May 8th. I’m confident that Mike understands that he can’t count on that result although his position seems very safe to be among the top two if there is a primary.
Shot himself in the foot or not, it’s been disappointing that no one has responded to the actual issue, and if they have, it’s been so muted by the hubbub about going negative.
Really though, who cares? Everyone finds negative campaigning distasteful, but I don’t know a candidate in the Utah US Senate race (except maybe David Chiu) who hasn’t flung any mud. Lee and Bridgewater and Eagar have been pounding away at Bennett for months, and when he decides to start shooting back, is anyone surprised? (not that I’m a huge Bob fan; i’m just saying…) The truth of the matter is that drawing distinctions and negative campaigning is a tried and true method that both educates voters and wins elections, and I say that based only on what studies have shown. It IS distastful, and it DOES dirty both the thrower of the mud and the recipient, but it works. And Lee has been throwing it just as long as the others.
What would I like to see? I’d like the candidates to engage each other on foreign policy, actually debate it. Show off their knowledge and expertise and position and persuade us that it is the right one. Right now, all I see is one candidate trotting out a shlew of veteran generals to support him, a second saying “Look, I told you he was going to start attacking me, because he’s afraid” and a third saying “Look what the second said–isn’t that dumb?” So…they all kind of miss the point: foreign policy is not a simple issue that can be summed up in a short and trite statement posted on one’s website, but is actually highly complex and deserving of considerable analysis.
The Founders, oft cited by all the candidates, lived in a world that was drastically and technologically different from our own, and even so they differed dramatically from each other. Hamilton and Washington and Adams spend the first 12 years of the republic grappling with Madison and Jefferson over the revolution in France and the appropriate role and response of the American country (and their attacks on each other were far more vitriolic than anything Bennett, Lee, Eagar, or Bridgewater have yet levied against their opponents). They also had an ocean that required a three week voyage between them and their enemies. Today, we face enemies, both state and non-state, that are only a commercial flight away, which communicates by email, text and cell phone almost instantaneously, and has access to arsenals that can and have rocked our nation’s economy and cities. It is not a simple problem that should be dismissed by a simple answer, nor lost amongst the rhetoric of campaign communication directors’ ad lib style press releases.
As they say, those who do not read history are doomed to repeat it, and to date, I have not been convinced that any of the candidates have read history or attempted to demonstrate more than a cursory nod to a foreign policy position in order to check the box.
(as an aside, I recommend “Ghost Wars” by Steve Coll, “Descent into Chaos” by Ahmed Rashid, and “Unholy Wars” by John K. Cooley. And I recommend them regardless of any candidate or supporter’s predilection on this topic.
Thanks for the analysis. Let’s hope that one of these can transcend campaign politics and ascend to real policy analysis. Right now, I’m just sick of their whining that someone else is going negative.
I think you are absolutely right about the lack of surprise and even the fact that there is some value in some of what is called mud slinging. Sometimes it takes a mudball to open the topic for discussion. The reason it is so distasteful is that often the mud flies without the topic being seriously discussed.
I agree that foreign policy will never be adequately addressed in soundbites but for myself, I favor Mikes position and have favored that position since long before I had ever heard of Mike.
I’ve debated the issue with friends and know that many others who I truly respect see things more like Bob does, but I am confident that until we relax our international military posture a bit we will have no chance at seeing a more secure international reputation. I also believe that until we relax our attitude enough at home to allow for an honest discussion about the merits of individual military actions without hiding behind the unassailable mask of “that undercuts troop morale” we will continually be led by those few who truly prefer war over peace into conflicts that weaken our moral authority and our military might while they claim to be supporting our troops and our national security.
I think you’ve hit on the problem: litmus tests. if open debate is not available, then rational options are unavailable.